With a recent spell of sunshine and warm temperatures here in England, I thought it would be interesting to look at the mechanism behind the Earth and the wider solar system in order to see what influences climate in different locations throughout the world. There are several factors which affect this.
The eccentricity, obliquity and procession of the Earth change slowly over time, which causes changes in the proportion of solar energy which reaches the Earth. These are known as Milankovitch Cycles and are so called due to the Serbian mathematician Milutin Milankovitch. He used these cycles as an aid when explaining the retreat of the polar ice caps and, although he was born in the 19th century, many modern day scientists agreed with his early work on this topic and believe that the cycles do in fact have an impact on the climate of the Earth.
Eccentricity is the shape of the Earth's orbit. When planets are in their closest approach to the sun, this is known as the perihelion and the opposite is the aphelion, with eccentricity being a measure of how these differ. The Earth's eccentricity follows a cycle which is repeated every 100,000 years. The larger this eccentricity is, the greater the difference in solar radiation which reaches the Earth when comparing perihelion and aphelion. Eccentricity can vary between 0.0005 and 0.0607, with a current value of 0.017 which is a 6.7% difference. On a long term timescale, changes to the Earth's eccentricity can affect the Earth's climate.
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A grpah to show the Earth's eccentricity cycles
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The tilt of the Earth's axis is currently 23.5 degrees and, during the seasons, the effect of this tilt changes on different locations throughout the world. In December, the northern hemisphere receives energy from the sun at more oblique angles which results in a 'winter' climate, and in June the axis is now tilted towards the sun so less oblique angles of energy are received and a warmer climate is experienced. We can see from this that the distance from the sun is not a major determining factor for seasons. The obliquity of the Earth's axis follows a 40,000 year cycle, with a minimum obliquity of 22.1 degrees and a maximum of 24.5 degrees.
The Earth's procession completes a 26,000 year cycle which has resulted in the Earth's axis currently pointing at Polaris (our Northern Star), so therefore we can expect that in half a cycle, 13,000 years, it will point towards the star Vega. Procession is caused by the gravitational effects experienced by the Earth from the sun and moon.
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A graph to show the Earth's procession cycles
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As mentioned earlier, the Milankovitch cycles result in long-term fluctuations in energy which reaches the Earth. Although there is evidence to suggest that the changes in insolation have had an influence on the world's climate, these changes alone are not enough to explain patterns in past climate.
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A graph to show global temperature changes using deuterium isotopes from the Vostok ice cores
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